Every cycle, aligned to day zero
Halving Cycles
Bitcoin price history re-anchored so day 0 is halving day in every cycle, making return and drawdown directly comparable.
Current cycle
Where this epoch stands.
Days since the last halving
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Return since halving—Measured against the halving-day close
Drawdown from cycle high—From the highest close inside this cycle
Epoch mined—
Aligned to day zero
Every cycle on one axis.
Each line starts on its own halving day, so cycles of different lengths and different price levels can be compared directly. Select a legend entry to hide a cycle.
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Comparison
Cycle by cycle.
| Cycle | Halving height | Subsidy | Days | Return | Peak | Drawdown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Loading cycles… | ||||||
Before you read anything into this
What this chart is not.
Method
Daily closing prices are re-indexed so that day 0 is halving day.
Limitations
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Three completed cycles is a very small sample. Aligning them makes history legible; it does not make the next cycle predictable, and BitcoinTrench makes no forecast from this data.